Omicron may cut IMF forecasts
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The International Monetary Fund is likely to lower its global economic growth estimates due to the new Omicron variant of the coronavirus, the global lender’s chief said on Friday in another sign of the turmoil unleashed by the ever-changing pandemic.
Omicron has spread rapidly to at least 40 countries since it was first reported in South Africa last week, officials say, and many governments have tightened travel rules to try to keep it out.
“A new variant that may spread very rapidly can dent confidence, and in that sense, we are likely to see some downgrades of our October projections for global growth,” said IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva.
Much remains unknown about Omicron. Researchers said it could have picked up genetic material from another virus, perhaps one that causes the common cold, which would allow it to more easily evade human immune system defenses.
Parts of Europe and the United States are grappling with a wave of infections of the more familiar Delta variant. The new strain could further destabilize economies that are still emerging from COVID-19 related lockdowns and disruptions.
A corporate Christmas party in the Norwegian capital Oslo resulted in at least 13 infections, making it the biggest outbreak outside South Africa.
World Health Organization chief scientist Soumya Swaminathan said that the fast-spreading variant would have to become more transmissible to out-compete Delta, which accounts for 99 percent of current transmissions.
“We need to be prepared and cautious, not panic, because we’re in a different situation to a year ago,” she said.
WHO’s emergencies director Mike Ryan said there was no evidence that existing vaccines needed to be modified to fight Omicron. He said officials should work on getting more people inoculated with vaccines currently on the market.
“We need to focus on getting people most at risk vaccinated,” Ryan said at a social media event.
However, WHO spokesman Christian Lindmeier told a United Nations briefing in Geneva that vaccine makers should prepare for the likelihood of adjusting their products.
Ugur Sahin, CEO of Germany’s BioNTech, which makes a COVID-19 vaccine with Pfizer, said the company should be able to adapt shots relatively quickly.
Sahin also said current vaccines should continue to provide protection against severe disease, despite mutations.
“I believe in principle at a certain timepoint we will need a new vaccine against this new variant. The question is how urgent it needs to be available,” Sahin said.
Australia became the latest country to report community transmission of Omicron.
Officials have also found the new strain in 10 US states, adding another challenge to a healthcare system that is already dealing with more COVID-19 illness caused by the Delta variant.
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