What is US鈥 true motivation for waging trade war?
Print Edition
The China-US trade war is mired in a stalemate. Strategic distrust between the two sides is deepening. There is a severe lack of political motivation to break the deadlock.
Is this a trade war in the traditional sense? At the very beginning, both sides believed the US was trying to redefine China-US relations via the trade war. But such viewpoints were not that solid.
It appeared that US President Donald Trump was aiming to solve the trade imbalance between the two countries and protect US intellectual property rights in a way he deemed appropriate. But he has many radical advisors around him. The attitude of Washington was swaying.
The US crackdown on Chinese tech giant Huawei reinforces the understanding of Chinese society that the US did not simply intend to address the trade imbalance but also wanted to deal a heavy blow to China鈥檚 high-tech development capability and further contain China鈥檚 development. The maximum pressure imposed by the US has also generated a serious sense of urgency among the Chinese people.
If China compromises, that means it cedes the US the right to define and reshape future China-US relations at will. The US would resort to maximum pressure as a means to make hegemonic demands on China, a catastrophe for China鈥檚 national security.
Washington often claims that China鈥檚 development model poses a threat, while the Chinese people tend to think that the US elite do not accept China鈥檚 development based on its current strength.
The US should understand that China鈥檚 rapid development is driven by the wish of the Chinese people to live a better life. US containment of China鈥檚 development, in essence, restricts the right of the Chinese people to improve their lives. If the US links the trade war with China to its suppression of the Chinese people鈥檚 wishes, it is a dangerous confrontation with the collective right of the Chinese people.
China and the US can negotiate their ways of trading. China鈥檚 development is a win-win and all-win process. If China鈥檚 development squeezes the room of other countries, it would be unsustainable and China will be bound to adjust.
China cannot accept the bossy US approach. Washington uses tariffs as a stick, a hegemonic move that threatens China鈥檚 national interests.
If the US institutionalizes such an attitude toward China, uses tariffs and cuts off supply of high-tech products like chips as leverage, China will firmly resist US pressure at whatever cost.
Both China and the US must be clear and make it clear to each other what they want to gain from the trade war. Their words must match deeds and trust on the other side. If distrust prevails from this strategic problem, China-US ties can hardly improve and any new agreement, if made, will soon be scrapped.
The global economic integration resulting from globalization is different from that of the Cold War era. People of all countries cherish peace and are tired of conflicts and chaos. This means a new cold war will not persist as a long-term strategy.
China and the US should avoid the worst-case scenario that will be detrimental to both countries and their peoples. If the US chooses to suppress China, China鈥檚 countermeasures will be its strategic choice.
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