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July 17, 2012

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US retail sales fall unexpectedly as unemployment remains high

AMERICANS cut their spending at retail businesses for a third straight month, as a weak job market has made consumers more cautious.

Retail sales fell 0.5 percent in June from May, the US Commerce Department said yesterday. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected retail sales to rise 0.2 percent.

Consumers spent less on autos, furniture, appliances, on building and garden supplies and at department stores.

"However hard you look, there's just no good news in this report at all," said Paul Ashworth, chief US economist at Capital Economics.

The drop in sales followed declines in the previous two months. Retail sales haven't fallen for three straight months since the fall of 2008, at the height of the financial crisis.

Despite the declines, retail sales were 4.7 percent higher in the April-June period than in the second quarter of 2011.

Some of the weakness in recent months reflects falling gas prices. But even excluding sales at gas stations, retail spending fell 0.3 percent in June from May.

Consumers have grown less confident in the economy this spring. Hiring has slumped and wages have barely kept pace with inflation, keeping budgets tight. As a result, consumers have pulled back sharply on their spending, which drives 70 percent of economic activity.

"Recent weak jobs data have certainly done nothing to alter our view that consumer spending growth will be very modest at best in the quarters ahead," said Joshua Shapiro, chief US economist at MFR, Inc. "A silver lining in the economic clouds is that lower gasoline prices are helping to cushion the consumer."

Sales at auto dealers fell 0.6 percent in June compared to May. That's a gloomier assessment of the industry than earlier reports from automakers. Those reports said auto sales increased 22 percent in June from the same month in 2011.

However, the automakers do not adjust their sales data for seasonal changes. And their data only reflect changes compared to the same month in the previous year.

But the weakness in June went well beyond auto sales. The government report showed sales fell 0.7 percent at department stores and declined 1.6 percent at building supply stores. Sales at furniture stores and electronics and appliance stores both fell 0.8 percent.




 

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