BRIC 2013 growth tipped at 6.9%
Source: Xinhua |
December 5, 2012, Wednesday
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Print Edition
Print Edition
JIM O'Neill, the Goldman Sachs economist who first dubbed China, India, Russia and Brazil the "BRIC" over 10 years ago, forecast that this bloc of major emerging economies will grow 6.1 percent year on year this year and 6.9 percent in 2013.
"We expect all the BRIC countries will perform better in 2013 than 2012, although it might not be dramatically better than expectations," O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said in a letter to a forum on BRICS (including South Africa) countries' economies yesterday.
South Africa joined as the fifth member at the end of 2010 and the bloc became BRICS.
"Collectively, we are expecting the BRIC countries to grow by 6.9 percent, up from a probable 6.1 percent in 2012," according to the letter. "We are forecasting (the global growth at) 3.6 percent for 2013, and 4.1 percent for 2014."
But O'Neill said the BRIC countries each face their own challenges in many ways.
"In Brazil, which has been the weakest of the four in 2012, they would hope to see some response from the considerable monetary and fiscal stimulus offered this year," he said, adding that in Russia, shifting away from energy dependence remains the biggest challenge.
For India, the challenge is making its democracy function better and implementing some of the policies it has stated.
O'Neill said the big challenge for China is to sustain the signs of a shift of growth drive to consumers, which looks encouraging.
He said he didn't think anyone should exaggerate the importance of European and United States problems driving the environment of the BRIC countries. "They should be perfectly capable of driving their own growth rates," he added.
"We expect all the BRIC countries will perform better in 2013 than 2012, although it might not be dramatically better than expectations," O'Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said in a letter to a forum on BRICS (including South Africa) countries' economies yesterday.
South Africa joined as the fifth member at the end of 2010 and the bloc became BRICS.
"Collectively, we are expecting the BRIC countries to grow by 6.9 percent, up from a probable 6.1 percent in 2012," according to the letter. "We are forecasting (the global growth at) 3.6 percent for 2013, and 4.1 percent for 2014."
But O'Neill said the BRIC countries each face their own challenges in many ways.
"In Brazil, which has been the weakest of the four in 2012, they would hope to see some response from the considerable monetary and fiscal stimulus offered this year," he said, adding that in Russia, shifting away from energy dependence remains the biggest challenge.
For India, the challenge is making its democracy function better and implementing some of the policies it has stated.
O'Neill said the big challenge for China is to sustain the signs of a shift of growth drive to consumers, which looks encouraging.
He said he didn't think anyone should exaggerate the importance of European and United States problems driving the environment of the BRIC countries. "They should be perfectly capable of driving their own growth rates," he added.
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