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September 29, 2012

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China equities the most tempting among BRICs macro-economy

CHINA'S economy is expected to grow at a much slower pace of about 7 percent over the next decade, but its stock market still has the most attractive upside among BRIC countries, according to Jim O'Neill, Chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management.

"China is in the early stages of going from a long period where it was all about the quantity of growth, into an era where the focus is on the quality of growth," O'Neill said in Singapore.

O'Neill, who coined the term BRICs to describe the emerging countries of Brazil, Russia, India and China, said markets have not fully factored in the next decade of slower growth for the world's second-largest economy.

That, he said, explains the underperformance of China's stock market.

After three decades of breakneck development that saw annual growth average of 10 percent, China's government is trying to steer growth lower to complete structural economic reforms.

"We're all used to the drug of 10 percent growth and those days are behind us," said O'Neill.

As China makes its transition, O'Neill expects consumer-related and health care companies to benefit, while those that depend on heavy industry production and heavy industry commodities were likely to lose out.

Investors are concerned over the timing of China's planned slowdown, as it could be derailed by the global economic downturn that has sapped overseas orders for exports from China's vast factory sector.

O'Neill said he expected China's A-shares to rise again over the next year, and disagreed with what he described as a growing consensus that Chinese equities would never rally again.



 

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