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November 15, 2013

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Eurozone’s economy grows slower in Q3

The eurozone economy all but stagnated in the third quarter of the year with France’s recovery fizzling out and growth in Germany slowing.

The 9.5 trillion euro (US$12.8 trillion) economy pulled out of its longest recession in the previous quarter but record unemployment, lack of consumer confidence and anaemic bank lending continue to curb a more solid rebound.

In the three months to September, the combined economy of the 17 countries sharing the euro grew by a slower-than-expected 0.1 percent. In the previous quarter it rose 0.3 percent — the first expansion in 18 months.

The French economy contracted by 0.1 percent, snuffing out signs of revival in the previous three months. It had been expected to post quarterly growth of 0.1 percent and has now shrunk in three of the last four quarters.

German growth slowed to 0.3 percent, from a robust 0.7 in the second quarter, but Europe’s largest economy clearly remains in much better shape.

France is becoming a focus for concern within the currency bloc. The Bank of France predicts the economy will expand by 0.4 percent in the last quarter of the year but the government’s labor and pension reforms are widely viewed as too timid.

A report on French competitiveness by the Paris-based Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development warned that it is falling behind southern European countries that have cut labor costs and become leaner and meaner.

“To reduce the economic lag and lost time, France needs to keep up structural reforms,” OECD chief Angel Gurria said.

The report will be hard for the government to ignore since it was commissioned by President Francois Hollande.

German growth was fuelled by domestic demand. Exports faltered, another indication of the malaise gripping the rest of the euro zone.

“ECB interest rates are far too low for Germany. Germany will probably grow significantly more strongly than the eurozone,” said Joerg Kraemer, chief economist at Commerzbank. “Early indicators point to similar growth in the fourth quarter.”

The European Commission forecasts the eurozone will shrink by 0.4 percent over 2013 as a whole before growing by a modest 1.1 percent in 2014.

 




 

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