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Japan intervenes to weaken yen and warns of more
Source: Agencies |
September 15, 2010, Wednesday
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Japan sold yen in the market today for the first time in six years and promised more to come in a bid to stop the currency's relentless rise from hurting exporters and threatening a fragile economic recovery.
Fresh after victory in a party leadership contest, Japan's Prime Minister Naoto Kan appeared to be stepping up efforts to wrench the country out of deflation by targeting yen strength, which has weighed on stock prices and corporate profits.
Estimates varied on how much Japan has spent in its first intervention in the foreign exchange market since 2003-2004, when its forked out 35 trillion yen (US$409 billion).
Dealers suggested today's intervention amounted to about 300-500 billion yen ($3.6-$6 billion), though some reports put it closer to 100 billion yen.
The US dollar was boosted further after an official at Japan's Ministry of Finance said intervention was not finished. It climbed about 3 percent on the day to more than 85.50 yen, having dropped to a 15-year low of 82.87 yen earlier.
Unlike in previous intervention, the Bank of Japan will not drain the money flowing into the economy as a result of the yen selling, sources familiar with the matter said.
That indicated the central bank plans to use the sold yen as a monetary tool to boost liquidity and support the economy.
Authorities that sell their own currencies to weaken them often issue bills to "sterilize" the funds and keep the excess money from becoming inflationary. In Japan's case, it wants to promote inflation since the economy has been dogged with deflation for much of the past decade.
"The government's aim, and the aim of authorities in general, is to add monetary injections to the economy," Callum Henderson, global head of foreign exchange strategy with Standard Chartered in Singapore, told Reuters Insider.
"Unsterilized intervention should be yen-negative, it should be very bullish for higher risk assets, very bullish for stocks in Japan and obviously it should add to the impact of the intervention of the yen," he said.
The central bank may follow up with additional steps, such as buying more government debt, economists said.
Analysts doubt other countries would help Japan tamp down the yen because they need weaker currencies to boost exports and growth. Intense pressure from Washington on China to let its currency strengthen also makes any attempts by major economies to weaken their currencies particularly sensitive.
Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda, who will reportedly keep his post after a cabinet reshuffle, indicated Tokyo acted alone on the yen. He said he was in contact with authorities overseas and analysts expected Japan to be spared international criticism.
"Japan will be seen as a special case," said Simon Flint, global head of foreign exchange research with Nomura in Singapore. "Obviously, its economy has been in significant trouble for a while, stocks have been depressed for some time, export performance relative to the Asian peer group has been very weak," he said.
"To some degree there will be some sympathy in the rest of the world for Japan's predicament."
US officials at the Federal Reserve and the Treasury declined immediate comment.
Analysts doubted whether Kan's government was ready for a protracted battle with markets similar to the 15-month yen selling spree earlier this decade since that campaign prove ineffective at halting the yen's strength for long.
"The amount of intervention isn't likely to be as much as Japan was spending the last time it intervened, so it won't be enough to stop dollar/yen from falling. It is also unlikely that other countries will co-operate," said Junya Tanase, currency strategist at JP Morgan in Tokyo.
Japan need only look to Switzerland. The Swiss franc shot to a record high against the euro two weeks after the country's central bank ended a 15-month policy in June 2010 of weakening its currency.
Noda declined to say if authorities had bought dollars. But two traders said the Bank of Japan, which acts on the ministry's behalf, appeared to have bought dollars around 83 yen at the start of the intervention.
"We will take decisive steps if necessary, including intervention, while continuing to closely watch currency market moves from now on," Noda told reporters.
Wednesday's action pleased Japanese exporters, many of whom had expected the yen to average 90 per dollar this fiscal year.
"We applaud the move by the government and the Bank of Japan to correct the yen's strength," Japan's No. 2 automaker Honda Motor Co. said in a statement.
Honda has penciled in 87 yen per dollar in its estimates for the fiscal year to March 2011.
Fresh after victory in a party leadership contest, Japan's Prime Minister Naoto Kan appeared to be stepping up efforts to wrench the country out of deflation by targeting yen strength, which has weighed on stock prices and corporate profits.
Estimates varied on how much Japan has spent in its first intervention in the foreign exchange market since 2003-2004, when its forked out 35 trillion yen (US$409 billion).
Dealers suggested today's intervention amounted to about 300-500 billion yen ($3.6-$6 billion), though some reports put it closer to 100 billion yen.
The US dollar was boosted further after an official at Japan's Ministry of Finance said intervention was not finished. It climbed about 3 percent on the day to more than 85.50 yen, having dropped to a 15-year low of 82.87 yen earlier.
Unlike in previous intervention, the Bank of Japan will not drain the money flowing into the economy as a result of the yen selling, sources familiar with the matter said.
That indicated the central bank plans to use the sold yen as a monetary tool to boost liquidity and support the economy.
Authorities that sell their own currencies to weaken them often issue bills to "sterilize" the funds and keep the excess money from becoming inflationary. In Japan's case, it wants to promote inflation since the economy has been dogged with deflation for much of the past decade.
"The government's aim, and the aim of authorities in general, is to add monetary injections to the economy," Callum Henderson, global head of foreign exchange strategy with Standard Chartered in Singapore, told Reuters Insider.
"Unsterilized intervention should be yen-negative, it should be very bullish for higher risk assets, very bullish for stocks in Japan and obviously it should add to the impact of the intervention of the yen," he said.
The central bank may follow up with additional steps, such as buying more government debt, economists said.
Analysts doubt other countries would help Japan tamp down the yen because they need weaker currencies to boost exports and growth. Intense pressure from Washington on China to let its currency strengthen also makes any attempts by major economies to weaken their currencies particularly sensitive.
Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda, who will reportedly keep his post after a cabinet reshuffle, indicated Tokyo acted alone on the yen. He said he was in contact with authorities overseas and analysts expected Japan to be spared international criticism.
"Japan will be seen as a special case," said Simon Flint, global head of foreign exchange research with Nomura in Singapore. "Obviously, its economy has been in significant trouble for a while, stocks have been depressed for some time, export performance relative to the Asian peer group has been very weak," he said.
"To some degree there will be some sympathy in the rest of the world for Japan's predicament."
US officials at the Federal Reserve and the Treasury declined immediate comment.
Analysts doubted whether Kan's government was ready for a protracted battle with markets similar to the 15-month yen selling spree earlier this decade since that campaign prove ineffective at halting the yen's strength for long.
"The amount of intervention isn't likely to be as much as Japan was spending the last time it intervened, so it won't be enough to stop dollar/yen from falling. It is also unlikely that other countries will co-operate," said Junya Tanase, currency strategist at JP Morgan in Tokyo.
Japan need only look to Switzerland. The Swiss franc shot to a record high against the euro two weeks after the country's central bank ended a 15-month policy in June 2010 of weakening its currency.
Noda declined to say if authorities had bought dollars. But two traders said the Bank of Japan, which acts on the ministry's behalf, appeared to have bought dollars around 83 yen at the start of the intervention.
"We will take decisive steps if necessary, including intervention, while continuing to closely watch currency market moves from now on," Noda told reporters.
Wednesday's action pleased Japanese exporters, many of whom had expected the yen to average 90 per dollar this fiscal year.
"We applaud the move by the government and the Bank of Japan to correct the yen's strength," Japan's No. 2 automaker Honda Motor Co. said in a statement.
Honda has penciled in 87 yen per dollar in its estimates for the fiscal year to March 2011.
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