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Jobless benefits filings drop to lowest
Source: Agencies |
December 23, 2011, Friday
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THE number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits dropped last week to its lowest level since April 2008, extending a downward trend that shows the job market strengthening.
First-time applications for jobless benefits fell 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 364,000, the US Labor Department said yesterday. It was the third straight weekly drop.
The four-week moving average, a less volatile gauge, fell for the 11th time in 13 weeks. At 380,250, it's the lowest since June 2008. Applications generally must fall below 375,000 - consistently - before hiring is strong enough to reduce the jobless rate.
Unemployment applications are a measure of the pace of layoffs. Job cuts have fallen sharply since the recession, though many employers remain slow to start hiring.
The declining number of applications suggests that the United States economy may finally be regaining strength, two and a half years after the Great Recession ended. The nation added at least 100,000 jobs monthly from July through November, the first five-month streak since 2006.
"When you fire fewer people, hiring unquestionably follows," said Dan Greenhaus, chief global strategist at BTIG LLC.
If unemployment applications continue falling, Greenhaus said, the number of jobs created each month will rise to 200,000 and the unemployment rate might fall as low as 8 percent before November's elections.
In the past three months, employers have added an average of 143,000 net jobs a month. That compares with an average of 84,000 in the previous three months.
More small businesses plan to hire than at any time in three years, a trade group said last week. A separate private-sector survey found more companies are planning to add workers than at any time since 2008.
First-time applications for jobless benefits fell 4,000 to a seasonally adjusted 364,000, the US Labor Department said yesterday. It was the third straight weekly drop.
The four-week moving average, a less volatile gauge, fell for the 11th time in 13 weeks. At 380,250, it's the lowest since June 2008. Applications generally must fall below 375,000 - consistently - before hiring is strong enough to reduce the jobless rate.
Unemployment applications are a measure of the pace of layoffs. Job cuts have fallen sharply since the recession, though many employers remain slow to start hiring.
The declining number of applications suggests that the United States economy may finally be regaining strength, two and a half years after the Great Recession ended. The nation added at least 100,000 jobs monthly from July through November, the first five-month streak since 2006.
"When you fire fewer people, hiring unquestionably follows," said Dan Greenhaus, chief global strategist at BTIG LLC.
If unemployment applications continue falling, Greenhaus said, the number of jobs created each month will rise to 200,000 and the unemployment rate might fall as low as 8 percent before November's elections.
In the past three months, employers have added an average of 143,000 net jobs a month. That compares with an average of 84,000 in the previous three months.
More small businesses plan to hire than at any time in three years, a trade group said last week. A separate private-sector survey found more companies are planning to add workers than at any time since 2008.
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