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May 12, 2015

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China beats US to be world鈥檚 top oil importer

China overtook the United States as the world鈥檚 top importer of crude oil for the first time in April, and its purchases are expected to remain strong despite a slowing economy, with far-reaching consequences for global oil and commodities markets.

The soaring imports came as a surprise as growth in the world鈥檚 second-largest economy was sputtering and its oil demand was seen to ease. But low oil prices and China鈥檚 series of interest rate cuts, including one over the weekend, in a bid to stoke growth are factors boosting demand.

China鈥檚 crude oil imports hit a record of nearly 7.4 million barrels a day in April, putting it ahead of the US鈥 estimated imports of 7.2 million bpd for April, Reuters data show.

While China may drop back to second place in some months ahead, it is clearly headed towards overtaking the US as the world鈥檚 top crude importer on a permanent basis.

China is already the world鈥檚 biggest energy consumer, with oil by far the largest traded energy market. Overtaking the US means China is the top user of almost all commodities, including coal, iron ore and most metals, with far-reaching implications for markets which continue to shift from West to East.

鈥淏eing the world鈥檚 biggest crude importer should give China more buying power. China鈥檚 engagement in the Middle East will continue to change, and it will no longer be the minority player,鈥 said Philip Andrews-Speed, head of energy security research at the National University of Singapore.

鈥淐hina becomes not only more important to Middle Eastern states, but the Middle East becomes progressively more important to China relative to other countries that are importing less oil,鈥 he added.

A 60 percent drop in global oil prices between June 2014 and January due to a supply glut encouraged China to build stocks, changing both trade flows and oil politics.

Within a decade, oil producers globally have had to fundamentally adjust their trade routes as US imports fell from over 10 million bpd 10 years ago to around 7 million bpd currently, just as China鈥檚 imports have risen seven-fold.

The Saudi-led decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries in November 2014 not to cut output despite the slide in oil prices has been largely to defend market share against outside competitors like Russia or US shale producers.

China鈥檚 nascent role as the world鈥檚 top crude buyer is also impacting trading.

The crude market has been dominated on the buy-side by Western oil majors such as ExxonMobil, Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron or BP or merchants like Vitol and Mercuria. Now, Chinese traders are increasingly active.

Companies like Unipec or China Oil, the respective trading arms of Sinopec and PetroChina, have entered oil markets on an unprecedented scale.


 

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