Related News

Home » Business » Energy

Oil settles lower after Fed revises outlook

OIL prices drifted lower yesterday after the Federal Reserve lowered its forecast for U.S. economic growth this year.

Benchmark oil fell 11 cents to settle at US$77.04 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange after rising as high as US$78.15 earlier in the session.

The Fed said U.S. gross domestic product will grow by 3 to 3.5 percent this year. That compares with an April forecast of 3.2 to 3.7 percent growth. The central bank also said unemployment will stay above 9 percent.

The news wasn't any better earlier in the day from the Commerce Department, which said shoppers cut back on spending for the second straight month, raising concerns about the potential for stronger oil and gas demand.

"Inventories are rebuilt to a large extent. The stimulus is winding down and we're back to relying on the consumer to push things along. He can't spend because he can't borrow any money to do it," said Jim Ritterbusch, president of energy consultancy Ritterbusch and Associates.

Crude prices got a morning boost from the weekly inventories report from the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration. It said oil supplies shrank by 5.1 million barrels to 353.1 million barrels. Analysts expected a drop of only 2.6 million barrels for the week ended July 9, according to a survey by Platts, the energy information arm of McGraw-Hill Cos.

Platts senior oil analyst Linda Rafield noted a steep drop in demand last week for all petroleum products except jet fuel. She also said that while overall crude stocks fell, inventories at Cushing, Okla. - the Nymex crude oil futures contract delivery point - edged up 314,000 barrels to 36.12 million barrels after three straight weeks of declines in that region.

Gasoline inventories gained 1.6 million barrels at 221 million barrels, which is 3 percent more than a year ago. Wholesale demand for gasoline over the four weeks ended July 9 averaged 9.3 million barrels a day, about 1.8 percent above year-ago levels.

U.S. refineries ran at 90.5 percent of total capacity on average.

"At the end of the day, one thing that we're seeing is a little larger than normal crude draw, but they're simply turning it into products faster," Ritterbusch said.

In other Nymex trading, heating oil lost 1.13 cents to settle at US$2.0361 a gallon, gasoline gave up 1.56 cents to settle at US$2.0665 a gallon and natural gas fell by 4.8 cents to settle at US$4.306 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Brent crude rose 12 cents to settle at US$76.77 a barrel on the ICE futures exchange.



 

Copyright © 1999- Shanghai Daily. All rights reserved.Preferably viewed with Internet Explorer 8 or newer browsers.

沪公网安备 31010602000204号

Email this to your friend