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October 23, 2012

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Rosneft seals deal for TNK-BP, set to become world's top oil company

STATE-CONTROLLED Russian oil company Rosneft has struck a two-part deal worth about US$55 billion to buy privately-owned TNK-BP and make British oil company BP a near-20 percent Rosneft shareholder with two seats on the board.

The first part of the Kremlin-backed agreement announced by Rosneft yesterday folds BP's half of TNK-BP, Russia's third-largest oil company, into Rosneft, in exchange for cash and Rosneft stock in an agreement worth about US$27 billion, including US$12.3 billion of cash and the rest in stock.

In stage two, AAR would get US$28 billion in cash, but the two deals are independent of each other and the AAR deal is still subject to negotiations, Rosneft said.

With the whole of TNK-BP on board, Rosneft, which is already Russia's top oil producer, will control nearly half of Russia's oil output and pump more oil and gas than Exxon Mobil, the world's top international oil company.

The deal gives Rosneft extra output and cash flow to finance exploration of Russia's vast reserves to replace aging and depleting fields. It keeps BP's expertise in Russia and provides the "quality" private shareholder President Vladimir Putin wants in order to show his critics he is pursuing a real privatization agenda.

"This is a very good signal for the Russian market. It is a good, large deal. I would like to thank you for this work," Putin told Rosneft CEO Igor Sechin.

It allows BP to end a stormy relationship with AAR, and to pursue closer ties with a Kremlin that exerts a much tighter hold on the oil industry than it did in the 1990s when BP first invested in Russia.

TNK-BP is highly profitable and provides a quarter of BP's total production, but its fields are mature, and the Soviet-born tycoons who own the other half through AAR have blocked BP's search for growth in Russia through closer ties with Rosneft.

"It's certainly a historic deal and a historic day for BP and Rosneft and TNK-BP," said Santander analyst Jason Kenney.

"I do think Rosneft is the winner in this. They get a lot of credibility by having a western investor on board and involved in its Russian resource and operations. For BP, they get an early monetization of its current Russian asset base, they shake off the political troubles that it had by having that stake, but a lot of the upside for BP is probably long-dated and it's difficult to see how it's going to be valued into BP's share price on a near-term basis."




 

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