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December 11, 2015

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Jobless claims filings hit 5-month high

THE number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits rose to a five-month high last week, but likely does not signal a deterioration in the labor market as the underlying trend remained consistent with tightening conditions.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 13,000 to a seasonally adjusted 282,000 for the week ended December 5, the highest level since early July, the Labor Department said yesterday. The prior week’s claims were unrevised.

Claims data tend to be volatile around this time of the year. The four-week moving average of claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends as it strips out week-to-week volatility, rose only 1,500 to 270,750 last week.

Claims have now been below the 300,000 threshold, which is normally associated with healthy labor market conditions, for 40 straight weeks. This is the longest since the early 1970s. As the labor market approaches full employment there is probably little room for further declines.

A Labor Department analyst said there were no special factors influencing the data and only claims for Louisiana had been estimated as the state implements a new computer program.

The labor market resilience, despite slowing consumer spending and housing market activity, is likely to give the Federal Reserve confidence to raise interest rates next Wednesday for the first time in nearly a decade.

The government reported last week that the economy added 211,000 jobs last month, maintaining the unemployment rate at a 7-1/2-year low of 5.0 percent.




 

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