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Fetish for microchips over potato chips
By Jagdish Bhagwati |
September 2, 2010, Thursday
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Print Edition
Print Edition
ECONOMISTS long ago put to rest the error that Adam Smith made when he argued that manufacturing should be given primacy in a country's economy.
Indeed, in Book II of "The Wealth of Nations," Smith condemned as unproductive the labors of "churchmen, lawyers, physicians, men of letters of all kinds; players, buffoons, musicians, opera-singers, opera-dancers, etc."
We may agree with Smith (and Shakespeare) about the uselessness of lawyers perhaps, but surely not about Olivier, Falstaff, and Pavarotti. But the manufacturing fetish recurs repeatedly, the latest manifestation being in the United States in the wake of the recent crisis.
In mid-1960s Great Britain, Nicholas Kaldor, the world-class Cambridge economist and an influential adviser to the Labour Party, raised an alarm over "deindustrialization." His argument was that an ongoing shift of value added from manufacturing to services was harmful, because manufactures were technologically progressive, whereas services were not.
He even got a Labour Chancellor of the Exchequer, James Callaghan, to introduce in 1966 a Selective Employment Tax, which taxed employment in services more heavily than employment in manufactures - a measure that was reversed in 1973, once it was realized that it would hit the tourist industry, which generated badly needed foreign exchange.
Kaldor's argument was based on the erroneous premise that services were technologically stagnant.
This view no doubt reflected a casual empiricism based on the mom-and-pop shops and small post offices that English dons saw when going outside their Oxbridge colleges.
But it was clearly at odds with the massive technical changes sweeping across the retail sector, and eventually the communications industry, which soon produced Fedex, faxes, mobile phones, and the Internet.
In fact, the dubious notion that we should select economic activities based on their presumed technical innovativeness has been carried even further, in support of the argument that we should favor semiconductor chips over potato chips.
Many proponents of semiconductor chips also presumed that what you worked at determined whether, in your outlook, you would be a dunce (producing potato chips) or a "with-it" modernist (producing semiconductor chips).
I have argued that you could produce semiconductor chips, trade them for potato chips, and then munch them while watching TV and becoming a moron. On the other hand, you could produce potato chips, trade them for semiconductor chips that you put into your PC, and become a computer wizard! In short, it is what you "consume," not what you produce, that influences what sort of person you will be and how that affects your economy and your society.
Ignorant of the extensive "deindustrialization" debate in 1960s Great Britain, two Berkeley academics, Stephen Cohen and John Zysman, started a similar debate in the US in 1987 with their book "Manufacturing Matters," which claimed that, without manufactures, a viable service sector is untenable.
But this argument is specious: One can have a vigorous transportation industry, with trucks, rail, and air cargo moving agricultural produce within and across nations.
While these episodes reflected academic obsession with manufactures and therefore died early deaths, the same cannot be said for the latest revival of the "manufactures fetish" in the US and Great Britain.
The latest flirtation with supporting manufactures has come from the current crisis, especially in the financial sector, and is therefore likely to have greater prospects for survival.
The fetish is particularly rampant in the US, where the Democrats in Congress have gone so far as to ally themselves with lobbyists for manufactures to pass legislation that would provide protection and subsidies to increase the share of manufactures in GDP. Because of the financial crisis, many politicians have accepted the argument, in a virtual throwback to Adam Smith, that financial services are unproductive.
Even if you wanted to curtail financial services, you could still focus on the multitude of non-financial services. Diesel engines and turbines are not the only alternatives; many services, like professional therapy, nursing, and teaching are available.
The case for a shift to manufacturing remains unproven, because it cannot be proved.
(The author is professor of economics and Law at Columbia University. The views are his own. Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2010. www.project-syndicate.org. Shanghai Daily condensed the article.)
Indeed, in Book II of "The Wealth of Nations," Smith condemned as unproductive the labors of "churchmen, lawyers, physicians, men of letters of all kinds; players, buffoons, musicians, opera-singers, opera-dancers, etc."
We may agree with Smith (and Shakespeare) about the uselessness of lawyers perhaps, but surely not about Olivier, Falstaff, and Pavarotti. But the manufacturing fetish recurs repeatedly, the latest manifestation being in the United States in the wake of the recent crisis.
In mid-1960s Great Britain, Nicholas Kaldor, the world-class Cambridge economist and an influential adviser to the Labour Party, raised an alarm over "deindustrialization." His argument was that an ongoing shift of value added from manufacturing to services was harmful, because manufactures were technologically progressive, whereas services were not.
He even got a Labour Chancellor of the Exchequer, James Callaghan, to introduce in 1966 a Selective Employment Tax, which taxed employment in services more heavily than employment in manufactures - a measure that was reversed in 1973, once it was realized that it would hit the tourist industry, which generated badly needed foreign exchange.
Kaldor's argument was based on the erroneous premise that services were technologically stagnant.
This view no doubt reflected a casual empiricism based on the mom-and-pop shops and small post offices that English dons saw when going outside their Oxbridge colleges.
But it was clearly at odds with the massive technical changes sweeping across the retail sector, and eventually the communications industry, which soon produced Fedex, faxes, mobile phones, and the Internet.
In fact, the dubious notion that we should select economic activities based on their presumed technical innovativeness has been carried even further, in support of the argument that we should favor semiconductor chips over potato chips.
Many proponents of semiconductor chips also presumed that what you worked at determined whether, in your outlook, you would be a dunce (producing potato chips) or a "with-it" modernist (producing semiconductor chips).
I have argued that you could produce semiconductor chips, trade them for potato chips, and then munch them while watching TV and becoming a moron. On the other hand, you could produce potato chips, trade them for semiconductor chips that you put into your PC, and become a computer wizard! In short, it is what you "consume," not what you produce, that influences what sort of person you will be and how that affects your economy and your society.
Ignorant of the extensive "deindustrialization" debate in 1960s Great Britain, two Berkeley academics, Stephen Cohen and John Zysman, started a similar debate in the US in 1987 with their book "Manufacturing Matters," which claimed that, without manufactures, a viable service sector is untenable.
But this argument is specious: One can have a vigorous transportation industry, with trucks, rail, and air cargo moving agricultural produce within and across nations.
While these episodes reflected academic obsession with manufactures and therefore died early deaths, the same cannot be said for the latest revival of the "manufactures fetish" in the US and Great Britain.
The latest flirtation with supporting manufactures has come from the current crisis, especially in the financial sector, and is therefore likely to have greater prospects for survival.
The fetish is particularly rampant in the US, where the Democrats in Congress have gone so far as to ally themselves with lobbyists for manufactures to pass legislation that would provide protection and subsidies to increase the share of manufactures in GDP. Because of the financial crisis, many politicians have accepted the argument, in a virtual throwback to Adam Smith, that financial services are unproductive.
Even if you wanted to curtail financial services, you could still focus on the multitude of non-financial services. Diesel engines and turbines are not the only alternatives; many services, like professional therapy, nursing, and teaching are available.
The case for a shift to manufacturing remains unproven, because it cannot be proved.
(The author is professor of economics and Law at Columbia University. The views are his own. Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2010. www.project-syndicate.org. Shanghai Daily condensed the article.)
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