Home
Business
Metro
Nation
World
Sports
Feature
Opinion
View more »Opinion Columns
Wan LixinOpinion deputy editor of Shanghai Daily
Time to make dog-raising regulations bite
Community canteens fill an important gap in lives of the elderly
Sunday
- Subscribe
Related News
Amazonian forests will be saved by the rain
Source: Agencies |
February 11, 2009, Wednesday
|
Print Edition
Print Edition
AMAZONIAN forests may be less vulnerable to dying off from global warming than feared because many projections underestimate rainfall, according to the latest study.
The report, by scientists in Britain, said Brazil and other nations in the region would also have to act to help avert any irreversible drying of the eastern Amazon, the region most at risk from climate change, deforestation and fires.
"The rainfall regime in eastern Amazonia is likely to shift over the 21st century in a direction that favours more seasonal forests rather than savannah," they wrote in the US Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Seasonal forests have wet and dry seasons rather than the current rainforest, which is permanently drenched. That shift could favour new species of trees, other plants and animals. The findings contrast with past projections that the Amazon forest could die and be replaced by savannah.
A 2007 report by the United Nations Climate Panel, which is a snapshot of global warming science by the world's leading experts, said: "By mid-century, increases in temperature and associated decreases in soil water are projected to lead to gradual replacement of tropical forest by savannah in eastern Amazonia."
The new study said almost all of 19 global climate models underestimated rainfall after scientists compared the models with observations of 20th-century climate.
Lowland forests in the Amazon have annual average rainfall of 2,400mm, it said. Projected cuts in rainfall meant the region would still be wet enough to sustain a forest.
But lead author Yadvinder Malhi from Oxford University said governments, led by Brazil, needed to manage the forests better.
Global warming is "accompanied by an unprecedented intensity of direct pressure on the tropical forests through logging, deforestation, fragmentation, and fire use," the scientists wrote.
The report, by scientists in Britain, said Brazil and other nations in the region would also have to act to help avert any irreversible drying of the eastern Amazon, the region most at risk from climate change, deforestation and fires.
"The rainfall regime in eastern Amazonia is likely to shift over the 21st century in a direction that favours more seasonal forests rather than savannah," they wrote in the US Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Seasonal forests have wet and dry seasons rather than the current rainforest, which is permanently drenched. That shift could favour new species of trees, other plants and animals. The findings contrast with past projections that the Amazon forest could die and be replaced by savannah.
A 2007 report by the United Nations Climate Panel, which is a snapshot of global warming science by the world's leading experts, said: "By mid-century, increases in temperature and associated decreases in soil water are projected to lead to gradual replacement of tropical forest by savannah in eastern Amazonia."
The new study said almost all of 19 global climate models underestimated rainfall after scientists compared the models with observations of 20th-century climate.
Lowland forests in the Amazon have annual average rainfall of 2,400mm, it said. Projected cuts in rainfall meant the region would still be wet enough to sustain a forest.
But lead author Yadvinder Malhi from Oxford University said governments, led by Brazil, needed to manage the forests better.
Global warming is "accompanied by an unprecedented intensity of direct pressure on the tropical forests through logging, deforestation, fragmentation, and fire use," the scientists wrote.
- About Us
- |
- Terms of Use
- |
-
RSS - |
- Privacy Policy
- |
- Contact Us
- |
- Shanghai Call Center: 962288
- |
- Tip-off hotline: 52920043
- 沪ICP证：沪ICP备05050403号-1
- |
- 互联网新闻信息服务许可证：31120180004
- |
- 网络视听许可证：0909346
- |
- 广播电视节目制作许可证：沪字第354号
- |
- 增值电信业务经营许可证：沪B2-20120012
Copyright © 1999- Shanghai Daily. All rights reserved.Preferably viewed with Internet Explorer 8 or newer browsers.
