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Brazil candidate Rousseff's lead slips in 2nd poll
Source: Agencies |
September 25, 2010, Saturday
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IN the second poll this week, Brazil's ruling party candidate Dilma Rousseff lost ground in the October presidential race following a recent corruption scandal involving a former aide, an Ibope poll showed yesterday.
Rousseff had 50 percent support compared with 28 percent for former Sao Paulo state governor Jose Serra, according to the poll published on newspaper O Estado de Sao Paulo's Web site.
A similar Ibope poll on Sept. 17 showed Rousseff with 51 percent and Serra with 25 percent.
On Wednesday, the Datafolha poll showed that Rousseff's lead had also diminished from 24 points to 21 points. Her voter support fell to 49 percent from 51 percent a week earlier, while Serra's support rose to 28 percent from 27 percent.
Both yesterday's Ibope and Wednesday's Datafolha polls still expect Rousseff to win the first round with 50 percent and one of the valid votes.
Ibope polled 3,010 people between Tuesday and Thursday and has a 2 percentage point margin of error.
If she pulls off a first round victory, it would give Rousseff a compelling mandate in her first term. Not even her mentor, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, won in the first round and he is one of Brazil's most popular presidents.
If Rousseff wins in the first round, her ruling coalition is expected to carry a sizable majority in both houses of Congress. But if she does not, she would have less momentum going into office.
All polls show Rousseff winning easily in the second round, if it comes to that, on October 31.
But a second round of voting would give her adversary Serra and his supporters more opportunities to chip away at her lead over the month of October and stir up more trouble for her and Lula, like the ethics scandal that surfaced last week.
Rousseff has suffered little until this week from the scandal involving her party and successor in the chief of staff's office under Lula that came to light last week.
Lula's chief of staff, Erenice Guerra, resigned over allegations she was involved in a kickback scheme for public works contracts. Guerra was Rousseff's deputy before Rousseff resigned as Lula's cabinet chief to run for president.
Serra, 68, also accused Rousseff and her party of having illegally accessed the tax records of his daughter and opposition members to gather potentially damaging information against them.
Rousseff has denied wrongdoing in both cases.
Rousseff had 50 percent support compared with 28 percent for former Sao Paulo state governor Jose Serra, according to the poll published on newspaper O Estado de Sao Paulo's Web site.
A similar Ibope poll on Sept. 17 showed Rousseff with 51 percent and Serra with 25 percent.
On Wednesday, the Datafolha poll showed that Rousseff's lead had also diminished from 24 points to 21 points. Her voter support fell to 49 percent from 51 percent a week earlier, while Serra's support rose to 28 percent from 27 percent.
Both yesterday's Ibope and Wednesday's Datafolha polls still expect Rousseff to win the first round with 50 percent and one of the valid votes.
Ibope polled 3,010 people between Tuesday and Thursday and has a 2 percentage point margin of error.
If she pulls off a first round victory, it would give Rousseff a compelling mandate in her first term. Not even her mentor, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, won in the first round and he is one of Brazil's most popular presidents.
If Rousseff wins in the first round, her ruling coalition is expected to carry a sizable majority in both houses of Congress. But if she does not, she would have less momentum going into office.
All polls show Rousseff winning easily in the second round, if it comes to that, on October 31.
But a second round of voting would give her adversary Serra and his supporters more opportunities to chip away at her lead over the month of October and stir up more trouble for her and Lula, like the ethics scandal that surfaced last week.
Rousseff has suffered little until this week from the scandal involving her party and successor in the chief of staff's office under Lula that came to light last week.
Lula's chief of staff, Erenice Guerra, resigned over allegations she was involved in a kickback scheme for public works contracts. Guerra was Rousseff's deputy before Rousseff resigned as Lula's cabinet chief to run for president.
Serra, 68, also accused Rousseff and her party of having illegally accessed the tax records of his daughter and opposition members to gather potentially damaging information against them.
Rousseff has denied wrongdoing in both cases.
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