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July 15, 2010

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Millions at risk in Asia from rising sea levels

SEA levels are rising unevenly in the Indian Ocean, placing millions at risk along low-lying coastlines in Bangladesh, Indonesia and Sri Lanka, scientists say.

Researchers from the University of Colorado and the National Center for Atmospheric Research say the rising sea levels are caused in part by climate change and are triggered by warming seas and changes to atmospheric circulation patterns.

The authors of the latest study say higher seas could worsen monsoon flooding, placing crops, homes and livelihoods at risk. They argue a better understanding of the changes are needed to improve risk assessment planning for the future.

Sea levels in general are rising globally by about 3 millimeters a year. Scientists blame rising temperatures caused by the growing amounts of greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels, that trap heat in the atmosphere.

Oceans are absorbing a large part of this extra heat, causing them to expand and sea levels to rise. Warmer temperatures are also causing glaciers and parts of the ice blanketing Greenland and West Antarctica to melt.

The team of researchers in their study used long-term tide gauge data, satellite observations and computer climate models to build a picture of sea level rises in the Indian Ocean since the 1960s.

They found that sea level rise is particularly high along the coastlines of the Bay of Bengal, the Arabian Sea, Sri Lanka, Sumatra and Java and that these could suffer greater than average rises.

But they also found that sea levels are falling in other areas. The study showed the Seychelles Islands and Zanzibar off Tanzania's coast had the largest drop in sea level.

"Global sea level patterns are not geographically uniform," said co-author Gerald Meehl of NCAR in Boulder, Colorado.

The study is published in the latest issue of the journal Nature Geoscience.

A key player in the process is the Indo-Pacific warm pool, a large oval area spanning the tropical oceans from Africa's east coast to the International Date Line in the Pacific.

The pool has warmed by about 0.5 degrees Celsius over the past 50 years, strengthening two major atmospheric circulation patterns that have a major impact on sea levels.





 

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