The story appears on

Page A7

August 11, 2020

GET this page in PDF

Free for subscribers

View shopping cart

Related News

Home » Business

Moody’s warns of credit disparity

Credit differentiation is set to widen across China’s onshore bond market in the aftermath of the novel coronavirus outbreak, Moody’s Investors Service said in a recent report.

The pandemic created unprecedented shocks for many companies, resulting in declining profits, reduced cash buffers and higher leverage, as well as funding difficulties for some amid credit differentiation.

The pace of recovery following the coronavirus disruption will vary across sectors, especially if government relief measures abate, and the rating agency expects credit differentiation to widen as a result.

For sectors that can recover sooner, such as construction and engineering companies, additional short-term credit can meet their working capital needs and revenue resumption will help to counter debt servicing pressure.

For sectors with operating conditions impacted for a prolonged period because of a change in consumer behavior and travel restrictions, such as offline discretionary retail and hospitality, short-term liquidity access will not be sufficient to weather the downturn, especially for companies with weaker operating and financial fundamentals.

Investor risk aversion to financially weak privately owned enterprises will continue and appetite for long-term risk has not revived, which exacerbates refinancing pressure, Moody’s noted.

Weak privately owned firms in sectors more exposed to the pandemic will have the highest liquidity risk, the report said.

Many issuers took advantage of ample liquidity and low interest rates from February to April to tap the onshore bond market for funding and refinancing needs, resulting in a jump in monthly issuance and net financing in March-April.

The issuance momentum cooled down in May and June because issuers were more sensitive about funding costs as yields rose and they had less imminent funding pressure.

Nevertheless, Moody’s expects policies to stay accommodative in the second half of the year to ensure reasonable credit supply and promote efficient and targeted supply to firms in need of liquidity.

Issuance pace may also slow down relative to the first six months but overall issuance in 2020 will still exceed last year’s record level.

Meanwhile, foreign investment in China’s onshore bond market surged in May amid a global liquidity boost from governments’ quantitative easing measures that drove investors to seek diversification and yield opportunities, and early signs of economic recovery from the coronavirus.

The outstanding amount of yuan bonds held by foreign institutional investors reached a record 2.5 trillion yuan (US$358 billion) at the end of June, the Moody’s report added.


Copyright © 1999- Shanghai Daily. All rights reserved.Preferably viewed with Internet Explorer 8 or newer browsers.

沪公网安备 31010602000204号

Email this to your friend