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November 4, 2020

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Saudi Aramco third-quarter profit slides as virus stifles oil demand

Energy giant Saudi Aramco yesterday posted a 44.6 percent slump in third-quarter profit, as the coronavirus pandemic weighs heavily on the global demand for crude oil.

Aramco, seen as Saudi Arabia’s cash cow, has revealed consecutive falls in quarterly profits since it began disclosing earnings last year, piling pressure on government finances as it pursues ambitious multi-billion dollar projects to diversify the oil-reliant economy.

The world’s most valuable listed company said it was committed to a bumper dividend even as third quarter net profits dropped to 44.21 billion Saudi riyals (US$11.79 billion), compared to US$21.3 billion in the same period last year.

Aramco’s net profit for the first nine months of this year also dropped 48.6 percent to US$35.02 billion, it said.

The latest results are in line with analysts’ expectations but stand in contrast to the losses reported by Aramco’s rivals, which are reeling from pandemic-driven economic shutdowns that have suppressed energy requirements.

Although the results underscore a downbeat market, Aramco’s July-September results showed an improvement amid relatively steady crude prices compared to the second quarter, when it posted a profit of US$6.57 billion.

“We saw early signs of a recovery in the third quarter due to improved economic activity, despite the headwinds facing global energy markets,” Aramco’s chief executive Amin Nasser said in the statement.

“We continue to adopt a disciplined and flexible approach to capital allocation in the face of market volatility. We are confident in Aramco’s ability to manage through these challenging times and deliver on our objectives.”

Nasser said Aramco was committed to delivering a dividend of US$18.75 billion to shareholders for the third quarter — an amount that exceeds the declared profit and the available cash flow.

The announcement is in line with the company’s pledge to pay an annual dividend of US$75 billion after it floated a sliver of its shares last year in the world’s biggest IPO.

“Aramco’s dividend payout is now much bigger than its income,” said Tarek Fadlallah, chief executive officer of the Middle East unit of Nomura Asset Management.

“Not a problem if oil rebounds next year. But it will be a big problem if it doesn’t.”

Amid weakening oil prices and flat output, Aramco may have to continue funding its bumper dividend by “borrowing in the short term,” said investment research firm Bernstein.

Dividend payments from Aramco help the Saudi government — the company’s biggest share holder — manage its ballooning budget deficit.

Last month, several oil giants, including ExxonMobil and Chevron, reported another quarter of red ink as uncertainty over oil demand forced the energy sector to rein in spending.

By contrast, Aramco’s results reflected its “resilience,” Nasser said.

But the Saudi giant is bracing for a possible further wave of coronavirus infections that could undermine a tentative global economic recovery and further erode the demand for crude worldwide, analysts say.

The company has cut its capital spending this year and also slashed hundreds of jobs as it seeks to reduce costs, Bloomberg News reported in June.

Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest crude exporter, has been hit hard by the double whammy of low prices and sharp cuts in production.


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