Too many boys, not enough girls
Print Edition
An estimated 4.7 million fewer girls are expected to be born globally in the next 10 years because of sex-selective practices in countries with a cultural preference for boys, a trend that could undermine social cohesion in the long term.
A study released yesterday showed the projected shortfall in the number of girls born will lead to a surplus of young men in the world by 2030, which could lead to increased anti-social behavior and violence.
Sex-selective abortions have been on the rise for the past 40 years in countries throughout southeast Europe along with Asia, with as-yet undetermined demographic impacts.
To model what short- and long-term effect sex selection will have on societies, an international team of researchers analyzed data from more than 3 billion births over the past 50 years.
Focusing on 12 countries where the male-to-female ratio had increased since 1970 and another 17 where that ratio was at risk of increasing due to social or cultural trends, they simulated two scenarios.
The first assumed an increase in the rate of sex selection, based on statistical evidence.
The second assumed increased sex selection in certain countries, based on observed trends and decreased fertility, but for which specific data were lacking.
In scenario 1, countries saw a shortfall of 4.7 million in the number of girls being born by 2030. For scenario 2, the figure jumped to more than 22 million globally by 2100.
- About Us
- |
- Terms of Use
- |
-
RSS - |
- Privacy Policy
- |
- Contact Us
- |
- Shanghai Call Center: 962288
- |
- Tip-off hotline: 52920043
- 娌狪CP璇侊細娌狪CP澶05050403鍙-1
- |
- 浜掕仈缃戞柊闂讳俊鎭湇鍔¤鍙瘉锛31120180004
- |
- 缃戠粶瑙嗗惉璁稿彲璇侊細0909346
- |
- 骞挎挱鐢佃鑺傜洰鍒朵綔璁稿彲璇侊細娌瓧绗354鍙
- |
- 澧炲肩數淇′笟鍔＄粡钀ヨ鍙瘉锛氭勃B2-20120012
Copyright 漏 1999- Shanghai Daily. All rights reserved.Preferably viewed with Internet Explorer 8 or newer browsers.
